KHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tractor Chelyabinsk are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan | 2.5–2.3 | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tractor Chelyabinsk
- Tractor Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
- 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
- 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
- 02.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 30.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
- 12.10Sochi2:3
- 10.10Cherepovets1:4
- 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
- 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
- 30.09Barys Astana4:1
Head to head
- 02.10.2026Bars Kazan — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
- 09.09.2026Bars Kazan — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 31.03.2026Bars Kazan — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1 OT
- 29.03.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan2:3 OT
- 27.03.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- YekaterinburgCSKA Moscowpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- LadaShanghaipreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlDynamo Moscowpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
- Spartak MoscowCherepovetspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →