KHL · Tuesday, 27 October, 18:00 MSK

Lada — Vladivostok

Model prediction for 27 October

Lada32%

Draw in regulation22%

Vladivostok46%

Model estimate at 05:06 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Vladivostok are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

Vladivostok are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lada — Vladivostok		2.2–2.6
Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout)		41%
Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout)		59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Lada
Lada goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Lada

12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
05.10Shanghai0:5
02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3

Vladivostok

10.10Lada4:3 OT
07.10away · Magnitogorsk0:3
05.10away · Magnitogorsk5:2
03.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:6 SO
01.10away · Cherepovets4:3 SO

Head to head

10.10.2026Vladivostok — Lada4:3 OT
15.10.2025Vladivostok — Lada6:1
05.10.2025Lada — Vladivostok1:2 OT
19.10.2024Vladivostok — Lada5:3
17.10.2024Vladivostok — Lada1:6

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
16	Dynamo Moscow	16	6	2	8	33–46	-13	14
17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Vladivostok	14	5	3	6	35–39	-4	13
18	Novosibirsk	15	5	3	7	33–45	-12	13
21	Sochi	14	3	0	11	19–49	-30	6
22	Lada	15	1	4	10	24–59	-35	6

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

17:00
Salavat UfaSochipreliminary
7525
1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.0
19:30
NiznekamskMagnitogorskpreliminary
3565
2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
19:30
SKA St. PetersburgNizhny Novgorodpreliminary
5446
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →