KHL · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
SKA St. Petersburg — Nizhny Novgorod
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
SKA St. Petersburg are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA St. Petersburg — Nizhny Novgorod | 2.7–2.5 | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SKA St. Petersburg
- SKA St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Cherepovets0:2
- 11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
- 08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
- 06.10Cherepovets2:5
- 03.10Vladivostok6:5 SO
- 12.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 08.10Cherepovets2:3
- 05.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:1 SO
- 03.10away · Sochi6:0
- 01.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:1
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Nizhny Novgorod — SKA St. Petersburg6:0
- 01.10.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Nizhny Novgorod2:3 OT
- 29.09.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Nizhny Novgorod2:5
- 08.09.2025Nizhny Novgorod — SKA St. Petersburg3:2 OT
- 22.03.2025Nizhny Novgorod — SKA St. Petersburg2:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
KHL on the same day
- Salavat UfaSochipreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.0
- LadaVladivostokpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- NiznekamskMagnitogorskpreliminary35652The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →