AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · PPL Center
Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Cleveland Monsters
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:5 OTCame true
In short
Final score 4:5 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Cleveland Monsters to win (53% incl. overtime), came true.
Cleveland Monsters are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 3.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Cleveland Monsters | 2.8–3.0 | |
| Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Cleveland Monsters to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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- Lehigh Valley Phantoms goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
- 19.04away · Charlotte Checkers1:4
- 18.04away · Charlotte Checkers2:0
- 16.04away · Springfield Thunderbirds1:7
- 12.04Cleveland Monsters4:3 SO
- 04.10Grand Rapids Griffins5:4 OT
- 03.10Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
- 24.05Toronto Marlies2:3
- 23.05away · Toronto Marlies2:5
- 21.05away · Toronto Marlies4:0
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Cleveland Monsters4:3 SO
- 15.02.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Cleveland Monsters2:5
- 19.10.2025Cleveland Monsters — Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3 SO
- 18.10.2025Cleveland Monsters — Lehigh Valley Phantoms0:3
- 19.04.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Cleveland Monsters7:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hershey Bears | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 10 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 4 | 2 | +5 | 6 | .750 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
| 32 | Chicago Wolves | 4 | 0 | -17 | 0 | .000 |
Next match
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsCleveland Monsters11 October · AHL50502The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
AHL on the same day
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:7Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
- 50501The most likely outcome came true: 122%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.6
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.4
- 42582The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 2:3.4.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →