Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Liberec — Plzen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Liberec are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- Liberec are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Liberec — Plzen | 2.4–2.0 | |
| Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Liberec
- Liberec goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Ceske Budejovice3:4
- 09.10Karlovy Vary5:0
- 04.10away · Mlada Boleslav5:3
- 02.10Olomouc2:0
- 29.09away · Litvinov4:5 SO
- 11.10away · Kometa Brno2:1 OT
- 08.10Ceske Budejovice4:1
- 04.10away · Karlovy Vary1:4
- 02.10away · Pardubice2:4
- 29.09away · Mlada Boleslav4:1
Head to head
- 16.09.2026Plzen — Liberec2:1 SO
- 09.01.2026Liberec — Plzen3:2 SO
- 28.11.2025Plzen — Liberec2:1 OT
- 12.10.2025Plzen — Liberec0:1
- 10.09.2025Liberec — Plzen1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mountfield HK | 10 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Litvinov | 10 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- TrinecKarlovy Varypreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
- KladnoVitkovicepreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Mlada BoleslavCeske Budejovicepreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- Mountfield HKPardubicepreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- LitvinovKometa Brnopreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →