Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Trinec — Karlovy Vary
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Trinec are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- Trinec are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Trinec — Karlovy Vary | 2.7–2.0 | |
| Trinec to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Karlovy Vary to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Trinec
- Trinec goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Pardubice4:5 OT
- 09.10Mountfield HK5:2
- 04.10away · Olomouc9:0
- 02.10Litvinov3:2
- 29.09Kladno6:4
- 11.10Kladno3:1
- 09.10away · Liberec0:5
- 04.10Plzen4:1
- 02.10away · Vitkovice3:0
- 28.09away · Sparta Prague1:0
Head to head
- 15.09.2026Karlovy Vary — Trinec0:2
- 11.04.2026Trinec — Karlovy Vary3:2 OT
- 08.04.2026Karlovy Vary — Trinec3:0
- 07.04.2026Karlovy Vary — Trinec2:3
- 04.04.2026Trinec — Karlovy Vary5:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Trinec | 10 | 9 | +26 | 28 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- KladnoVitkovicepreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- LiberecPlzenpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.3
- Mlada BoleslavCeske Budejovicepreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- Mountfield HKPardubicepreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- LitvinovKometa Brnopreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →