SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Linkoping — Frolunda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Frolunda are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Linkoping — Frolunda | 2.0–2.5 | |
| Linkoping to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Linkoping
- Linkoping goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Djurgarden1:5
- 08.10away · Vaxjo3:0
- 03.10IF Bjorkloven2:3
- 01.10Lulea0:2
- 26.09away · Rogle1:2 OT
- 10.10away · IF Bjorkloven2:3
- 08.10away · Timra1:4
- 03.10Djurgarden4:2
- 01.10Brynas2:1
- 26.09away · Malmo2:1
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Frolunda — Linkoping3:4
- 06.01.2026Linkoping — Frolunda2:1
- 29.11.2025Linkoping — Frolunda1:4
- 13.09.2025Frolunda — Linkoping2:1
- 22.02.2025Linkoping — Frolunda2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Farjestad | 8 | 7 | +26 | 22 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Frolunda | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 8 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Timra | 8 | 1 | -7 | 7 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Linkoping | 7 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
SHL on the same day
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.2
- 68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →