Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Lokomotiv Orsha — Zhlobin

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Model prediction for 30 October

Lokomotiv Orsha14%
Draw in regulation16%
Zhlobin70%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zhlobin are clear favourites: 82% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Zhlobin are more dangerous in attack: 3.6 expected goals against 1.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lokomotiv Orsha — Zhlobin1.8–3.6
Lokomotiv Orsha to win (incl. OT and shootout)18%
Zhlobin to win (incl. OT and shootout)82%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Lokomotiv Orsha
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Form

Lokomotiv Orsha

  • 11.10Neman Grodno0:1
  • 09.10Neman Grodno2:3 OT
  • 05.10away · Gomel2:5
  • 03.10away · Gomel3:4
  • 29.09Lida5:4 SO

Zhlobin

  • 12.10away · Brest3:2
  • 10.10away · Brest4:1
  • 04.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
  • 03.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
  • 29.09away · Molodechno0:3

Head to head

  • 30.01.2026Zhlobin — Lokomotiv Orsha3:2 SO
  • 28.01.2026Zhlobin — Lokomotiv Orsha3:1
  • 26.10.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Zhlobin2:3 OT
  • 24.10.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Zhlobin1:3
  • 01.02.2025Zhlobin — Lokomotiv Orsha5:2

Full record: 31 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • SoligorskGomelpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.2
  • VitebskLidapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →