Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Soligorsk — Gomel

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Model prediction for 30 October

Soligorsk53%
Draw in regulation21%
Gomel26%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Soligorsk are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Soligorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Soligorsk — Gomel2.9–2.1
Soligorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Gomel to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Soligorsk
  • Soligorsk goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Soligorsk

  • 12.10away · Yunost Minsk7:1
  • 10.10away · Yunost Minsk6:4
  • 05.10Baranavichy4:5
  • 03.10Baranavichy4:2
  • 30.09away · Slavutych1:5

Gomel

  • 11.10away · Mogilev5:1
  • 09.10away · Mogilev3:2
  • 05.10Lokomotiv Orsha5:2
  • 03.10Lokomotiv Orsha4:3
  • 29.09away · Novopolotsk1:3

Head to head

  • 26.03.2026Soligorsk — Gomel1:0
  • 24.03.2026Gomel — Soligorsk3:5
  • 22.03.2026Soligorsk — Gomel2:3 OT
  • 20.03.2026Gomel — Soligorsk1:0 OT
  • 18.03.2026Gomel — Soligorsk3:4

Full record: 73 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 216%Model's score: 1:45.4
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.2
  • VitebskLidapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →