NHL · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings — Florida Panthers

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Los Angeles Kings40%
Draw in regulation24%
Florida Panthers36%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Los Angeles Kings to win (52% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.

Close to a coin flip: Los Angeles Kings 52%, Florida Panthers 48% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Los Angeles Kings — Florida Panthers2.7–2.6
Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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  • Los Angeles Kings goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Los Angeles Kings

  • 04.10away · San Jose Sharks4:5 OT
  • 01.10away · Colorado Avalanche4:8
  • 26.04Colorado Avalanche1:5
  • 24.04Colorado Avalanche2:4
  • 22.04away · Colorado Avalanche1:2 OT

Florida Panthers

  • 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
  • 02.10away · San Jose Sharks3:4 OT
  • 30.09away · Carolina Hurricanes1:0 OT
  • 16.04Detroit Red Wings8:1
  • 14.04New York Rangers3:2

Head to head

  • 18.12.2025Florida Panthers — Los Angeles Kings3:2
  • 07.11.2025Los Angeles Kings — Florida Panthers2:5
  • 30.01.2025Florida Panthers — Los Angeles Kings3:0
  • 23.01.2025Los Angeles Kings — Florida Panthers2:1
  • 12.01.2024Florida Panthers — Los Angeles Kings3:2 OT

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18
14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceFlorida Panthers732219–20-18
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102
32Calgary Flames610512–29-172

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →