Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Lugano — Davos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Lugano 53%, Davos 47% including overtime.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lugano — Davos | 2.6–2.5 | |
| Lugano to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lugano
- Lugano goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Biel3:2
- 09.10Zurich2:3 OT
- 07.10away · Lausanne5:2
- 04.10away · Ajoie4:5
- 02.10Rapperswil-Jona5:2
- 10.10away · Servette2:3
- 09.10EHC Kloten1:4
- 03.10away · Biel3:4
- 02.10Ajoie3:1
- 29.09away · Ambri-Piotta3:0
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Lugano — Davos1:4
- 20.12.2025Davos — Lugano5:4
- 16.10.2025Lugano — Davos0:3
- 20.09.2025Davos — Lugano2:0
- 17.01.2025Lugano — Davos6:3
Table
National League on the same day
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 73271The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →