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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Malmo — HV 71

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Model prediction for 31 October

Malmo48%
Draw in regulation21%
HV 7131%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Malmo are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Malmo are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Malmo — HV 712.9–2.4
Malmo to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
HV 71 to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Malmo
  • Malmo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Malmo

  • 10.10away · Farjestad2:6
  • 08.10away · Lulea3:2
  • 03.10Brynas1:0
  • 01.10away · Skelleftea3:4 OT
  • 26.09Frolunda1:2

HV 71

  • 10.10Brynas3:2
  • 08.10away · Rogle3:4
  • 03.10away · Farjestad1:3
  • 01.10Orebro2:1 OT
  • 29.09away · IF Bjorkloven2:4

Head to head

  • 19.09.2026HV 71 — Malmo4:5 OT
  • 07.02.2026Malmo — HV 713:2
  • 30.12.2025HV 71 — Malmo2:3 OT
  • 06.12.2025HV 71 — Malmo1:4
  • 20.09.2025Malmo — HV 713:2

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsOrebro8302318–22-411
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMalmo7212218–22-410
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea8301420–26-610
11Djurgarden8211416–22-69
12HV 718121424–29-58
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • FrolundaLinkopingpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • SkellefteaIF Bjorklovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.3
  • VaxjoFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
  • DjurgardenBrynaspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • OrebroRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • TimraLuleapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →