Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Friday, 9 October, MSK
Mogilev — Gomel
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:3Came true
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Gomel to win (66% incl. overtime), came true.
Gomel are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Gomel are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mogilev — Gomel | 2.3–3.1 | |
| Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Gomel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Mogilev
- Mogilev goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 05.10Lokomotiv Orsha5:2
- 03.10Lokomotiv Orsha4:3
- 29.09away · Novopolotsk1:3
- 27.09away · Novopolotsk5:0
- 24.09away · Brest1:2
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Mogilev — Gomel2:1 SO
- 22.01.2026Mogilev — Gomel1:3
- 01.11.2025Gomel — Mogilev4:1
- 30.10.2025Gomel — Mogilev5:3
- 18.02.2025Gomel — Mogilev4:1
Next match
- MogilevGomel11 October · Belarus Extraleague33672The most likely outcome came true: 220%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 29712The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:6Final score 1:6. Model's score: 1:3.4.4
- 36642The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:4.5.2
- 43572The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 1:3.4.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →