Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Mogilev — Novopolotsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mogilev are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- Mogilev are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.
Facts
- Mogilev: 5 defeats in a row; Novopolotsk: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Mogilev 2 wins, Novopolotsk 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mogilev — Novopolotsk | 3.1–2.6 | |
| Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Mogilev
- Mogilev goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Molodechno2:3
- 09.10Molodechno1:6
- 06.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
- 04.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
- 29.09Gomel3:1
Head to head
- 17.02.2026Novopolotsk — Mogilev7:1
- 15.02.2026Novopolotsk — Mogilev2:6
- 19.10.2025Mogilev — Novopolotsk3:2 OT
- 17.10.2025Mogilev — Novopolotsk3:6
- 12.01.2025Novopolotsk — Mogilev1:0
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- SlavutychBrestpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Yunost MinskNeman Grodnopreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →