Molodechno — Mogilev
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Molodechno are clear favourites: 84% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Molodechno are more dangerous in attack: 3.7 expected goals against 1.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Molodechno — Mogilev | 3.7–1.6 | |
| Molodechno to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 84% | |
| Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 16% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Molodechno
- Molodechno goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Novopolotsk3:2
- 09.10away · Novopolotsk6:1
- 06.10Brest2:3
- 04.10Brest1:2 OT
- 29.09Zhlobin3:0
Head to head
- 06.01.2026Mogilev — Molodechno5:4 SO
- 04.01.2026Mogilev — Molodechno4:3 SO
- 07.10.2025Molodechno — Mogilev8:1
- 05.10.2025Molodechno — Mogilev7:1
- 02.12.2024Molodechno — Mogilev1:2
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- Lokomotiv OrshaBrestpreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 2:45.6
- SlavutychNeman Grodnopreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:14.9
- SoligorskVitebskpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →