Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Molodechno — Mogilev

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 21 October

Molodechno73%
Draw in regulation15%
Mogilev12%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Molodechno are clear favourites: 84% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Molodechno are more dangerous in attack: 3.7 expected goals against 1.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Molodechno — Mogilev3.7–1.6
Molodechno to win (incl. OT and shootout)84%
Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout)16%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Molodechno
  • Molodechno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Molodechno

  • 11.10away · Novopolotsk3:2
  • 09.10away · Novopolotsk6:1
  • 06.10Brest2:3
  • 04.10Brest1:2 OT
  • 29.09Zhlobin3:0

Mogilev

  • 11.10Gomel1:5
  • 09.10Gomel2:3
  • 06.10away · Lida1:5
  • 04.10away · Lida0:6
  • 30.09Vitebsk0:2

Head to head

  • 06.01.2026Mogilev — Molodechno5:4 SO
  • 04.01.2026Mogilev — Molodechno4:3 SO
  • 07.10.2025Molodechno — Mogilev8:1
  • 05.10.2025Molodechno — Mogilev7:1
  • 02.12.2024Molodechno — Mogilev1:2

Full record: 39 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 2:45.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • SoligorskVitebskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →