NHL · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

New York Rangers — Anaheim Ducks

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Model prediction for 20 October

New York Rangers45%
Draw in regulation23%
Anaheim Ducks32%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

New York Rangers are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • New York Rangers are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: New York Rangers — No. 2, 12 pts; Anaheim Ducks — No. 12, 8 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: New York Rangers 2 wins, Anaheim Ducks 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New York Rangers — Anaheim Ducks3.0–2.6
New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

New York Rangers

  • 14.10Tampa Bay Lightning4:1
  • 12.10Vancouver Canucks6:2
  • 10.10away · Washington Capitals1:3
  • 07.10New York Islanders5:2
  • 05.10Utah Mammoth4:2

Anaheim Ducks

  • 14.10Calgary Flames2:4
  • 11.10away · Calgary Flames4:2
  • 10.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 08.10Edmonton Oilers2:5
  • 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT

Head to head

  • 20.01.2026Anaheim Ducks — New York Rangers5:3
  • 16.12.2025New York Rangers — Anaheim Ducks1:4
  • 29.03.2025Anaheim Ducks — New York Rangers5:4 OT
  • 27.10.2024New York Rangers — Anaheim Ducks2:1
  • 22.01.2024Anaheim Ducks — New York Rangers2:5

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes861131–19+1213
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceAnaheim Ducks640220–17+38
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →