NHL · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers — Vancouver Canucks
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6:2Came true
In short
Final score 6:2: the model's most likely outcome, New York Rangers to win (69% incl. overtime), came true.
New York Rangers are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.
Why
- New York Rangers are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.4.
- Vancouver Canucks: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New York Rangers — Vancouver Canucks | 3.5–2.4 | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 61% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New York Rangers
- New York Rangers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Washington Capitals1:3
- 07.10New York Islanders5:2
- 05.10Utah Mammoth4:2
- 03.10away · Detroit Red Wings2:0
- 02.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:1
- 10.10away · New Jersey Devils1:4
- 09.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:7
- 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3
- 04.10Calgary Flames4:1
- 02.10Edmonton Oilers7:9
Head to head
- 17.12.2025New York Rangers — Vancouver Canucks0:3
- 29.10.2025Vancouver Canucks — New York Rangers0:2
- 22.03.2025New York Rangers — Vancouver Canucks5:3
- 20.11.2024Vancouver Canucks — New York Rangers3:4
- 09.01.2024New York Rangers — Vancouver Canucks3:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
Next matches
- New York RangersTampa Bay Lightning14 October · NHL46542The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- New York IslandersVancouver Canucks14 October · NHL65351The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
NHL on the same day
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 36642The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →