NHL · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals — Seattle Kraken
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:5Missed
In short
Final score 3:5: the model's most likely outcome, Washington Capitals to win (60% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.
Washington Capitals are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Washington Capitals are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — Seattle Kraken | 2.9–2.4 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10New York Rangers3:1
- 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
- 03.10away · Carolina Hurricanes5:2
- 15.04away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:1
- 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
- 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 05.10Calgary Flames6:1
- 04.10away · Edmonton Oilers1:3
- 02.10away · Calgary Flames6:1
Head to head
- 28.01.2026Seattle Kraken — Washington Capitals5:1
- 22.10.2025Washington Capitals — Seattle Kraken4:1
- 09.03.2025Washington Capitals — Seattle Kraken4:2
- 24.01.2025Seattle Kraken — Washington Capitals0:3
- 15.03.2024Seattle Kraken — Washington Capitals1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 6 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 6 | 4 | +9 | 8 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
| 16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Washington Capitals | 5 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 17 | Nashville Predators | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Next matches
- Carolina HurricanesWashington Capitals14 October · NHL59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Philadelphia FlyersSeattle Kraken14 October · NHL51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
NHL on the same day
- 69311The most likely outcome came true: 121%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
- 36642The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →