Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Novopolotsk — Molodechno

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Model prediction and result

1:6Came true
Novopolotsk21%
Draw in regulation21%
Molodechno57%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:6: the model's most likely outcome, Molodechno to win (71% incl. overtime), came true.

Molodechno are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.

Why

  • Molodechno are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Novopolotsk — Molodechno1.7–2.7
Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)29%
Molodechno to win (incl. OT and shootout)71%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)31%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)69%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Novopolotsk
  • Novopolotsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Novopolotsk

  • 06.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 04.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 29.09Gomel3:1
  • 27.09Gomel0:5
  • 24.09away · Lida0:4

Molodechno

  • 06.10Brest2:3
  • 04.10Brest1:2 OT
  • 29.09Zhlobin3:0
  • 27.09Zhlobin1:4
  • 24.09away · Neman Grodno1:0

Head to head

  • 18.12.2025Novopolotsk — Molodechno4:2
  • 16.12.2025Novopolotsk — Molodechno4:2
  • 25.09.2025Molodechno — Novopolotsk4:1
  • 23.09.2025Molodechno — Novopolotsk6:3
  • 29.12.2024Molodechno — Novopolotsk4:5 OT

Next match

  • NovopolotskMolodechno11 October · Belarus Extraleague
    2The most likely outcome came true: 219%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:3.4.6

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 220%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:4.5.2
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 1:3.4.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →