KHL · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Novosibirsk — Niznekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Novosibirsk 48%, Niznekamsk 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Novosibirsk — No. 18, 13 pts; Niznekamsk — No. 6, 18 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Novosibirsk 0 wins, Niznekamsk 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Novosibirsk — Niznekamsk | 2.3–2.4 | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Novosibirsk
- Novosibirsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Barys Astana3:2
- 10.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 07.10Salavat Ufa4:5 OT
- 04.10away · Niznekamsk2:3
- 02.10away · Salavat Ufa4:2
- 12.10away · Salavat Ufa3:4
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
Head to head
- 04.10.2026Niznekamsk — Novosibirsk3:2
- 16.09.2026Novosibirsk — Niznekamsk0:3
- 22.02.2026Niznekamsk — Novosibirsk1:0
- 04.02.2026Novosibirsk — Niznekamsk2:5
- 17.01.2026Novosibirsk — Niznekamsk1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokKhabarovskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- Tractor ChelyabinskCSKA Moscowpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
- Nizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscowpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- ShanghaiSalavat Ufapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- SochiAvangard Omskpreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.8
- Dinamo MinskDynamo Moscowpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →