SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Orebro — Rogle

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Model prediction for 31 October

Orebro34%
Draw in regulation23%
Rogle44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rogle are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Rogle are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Orebro — Rogle2.2–2.5
Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Rogle to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Orebro
  • Orebro goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Orebro

  • 10.10Vaxjo4:2
  • 08.10away · Djurgarden1:2
  • 03.10Lulea1:4
  • 01.10away · HV 711:2 OT
  • 26.09Skelleftea3:0

Rogle

  • 10.10away · Skelleftea2:3
  • 08.10HV 714:3
  • 03.10away · Vaxjo2:3
  • 01.10Timra4:1
  • 26.09Linkoping2:1 OT

Head to head

  • 28.02.2026Rogle — Orebro2:3 OT
  • 03.01.2026Orebro — Rogle3:4
  • 29.11.2025Orebro — Rogle4:3
  • 04.10.2025Rogle — Orebro5:3
  • 11.02.2025Orebro — Rogle3:4

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBrynas8400423–18+512
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle8310420–18+211
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsOrebro8302318–22-411
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMalmo7212218–22-410

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.3
  • VaxjoFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
  • DjurgardenBrynaspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • MalmoHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
  • TimraLuleapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →