VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Orsk — Dyn. Altay

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Model prediction for 25 October

Orsk46%
Draw in regulation24%
Dyn. Altay30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Orsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.

Why

  • Orsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Orsk — Dyn. Altay2.3–1.9
Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Dyn. Altay to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)27%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)73%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Orsk goals
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Form

Orsk

  • 12.10away · Kaluga2:1 SO
  • 10.10away · AKM0:3
  • 08.10away · Ryazan3:2 OT
  • 30.09Bars4:0
  • 28.09Almetyevsk2:1

Dyn. Altay

  • 13.10Olympia1:4
  • 07.10away · Kristall Saratov4:5 SO
  • 05.10away · Dizel1:3
  • 03.10away · Tambov0:2
  • 01.10away · Buran Voronezh2:4

Head to head

  • 31.01.2026Dyn. Altay — Orsk1:2 OT
  • 18.10.2025Orsk — Dyn. Altay3:2
  • 18.03.2025Orsk — Dyn. Altay1:2
  • 12.09.2024Dyn. Altay — Orsk3:1
  • 24.01.2024Dyn. Altay — Orsk4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, PlayoffsHC Norilsk1592435–33+220
5, PlayoffsOrsk1283135–22+1319
6, PlayoffsAKM1483343–32+1119
22Dizel1352629–31-212
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →