VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Orsk — HC Norilsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Orsk are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orsk — HC Norilsk | 2.2–2.0 | |
| Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| HC Norilsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Orsk
- Orsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Kaluga2:1 SO
- 10.10away · AKM0:3
- 08.10away · Ryazan3:2 OT
- 30.09Bars4:0
- 28.09Almetyevsk2:1
- 12.10Perm3:1
- 10.10Toros Neftekamsk5:3
- 08.10Izhevsk3:2
- 06.10Olympia3:2
- 01.10away · Kristall Saratov3:2 SO
Head to head
- 07.02.2026HC Norilsk — Orsk1:0
- 12.10.2025Orsk — HC Norilsk2:1
- 14.03.2025Orsk — HC Norilsk4:2
- 05.09.2024HC Norilsk — Orsk5:0
- 18.12.2023HC Norilsk — Orsk1:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
VHL on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- 84161The model's most likely outcome: 116%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →