VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Dyn. Altay — Perm

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Model prediction for 19 October

Dyn. Altay31%
Draw in regulation23%
Perm46%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Perm are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • Perm are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dyn. Altay — Perm2.0–2.5
Dyn. Altay to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Perm to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Dyn. Altay goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Dyn. Altay

  • 13.10Olympia1:4
  • 07.10away · Kristall Saratov4:5 SO
  • 05.10away · Dizel1:3
  • 03.10away · Tambov0:2
  • 01.10away · Buran Voronezh2:4

Perm

  • 12.10away · HC Norilsk1:3
  • 07.10Kaluga1:3
  • 05.10AKM3:0
  • 03.10Ryazan1:0
  • 25.09away · Bars4:0

Head to head

  • 19.01.2026Perm — Dyn. Altay3:2
  • 01.11.2025Dyn. Altay — Perm4:1
  • 08.01.2025Perm — Dyn. Altay3:2 SO
  • 14.11.2024Dyn. Altay — Perm5:1
  • 09.12.2023Dyn. Altay — Perm2:3 OT

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg1280432–21+1116
11, PlayoffsPerm1280430–23+716
12, PlayoffsTambov1372434–34016
22Dizel1352629–31-212
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →