NHL · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Philadelphia Flyers — Colorado Avalanche
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Philadelphia Flyers — No. 30, 3 pts; Colorado Avalanche — No. 11, 8 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia Flyers 1 win, Colorado Avalanche 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Colorado Avalanche | 2.2–3.0 | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Philadelphia Flyers
- Philadelphia Flyers goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
- 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
- 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
- 14.10away · Dallas Stars3:2
- 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
- 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
- 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Colorado Avalanche — Philadelphia Flyers3:7
- 07.12.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Colorado Avalanche2:3
- 02.02.2025Colorado Avalanche — Philadelphia Flyers2:0
- 19.11.2024Philadelphia Flyers — Colorado Avalanche2:3
- 20.01.2024Philadelphia Flyers — Colorado Avalanche4:7
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →