Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 31 October, 21:45 MSK

Rapperswil-Jona — Ajoie

Model prediction for 31 October

Rapperswil-Jona58%

Draw in regulation20%

Ajoie23%

Model estimate at 11:24 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rapperswil-Jona are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

Rapperswil-Jona are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rapperswil-Jona — Ajoie		3.2–2.2
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)		70%
Ajoie to win (incl. OT and shootout)		30%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Rapperswil-Jona
Rapperswil-Jona goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Rapperswil-Jona

10.10Lausanne1:4
09.10away · Langnau Tigers0:3
03.10Bern4:3 OT
02.10away · Lugano2:5
29.09Zug2:5

Ajoie

10.10Langnau Tigers5:4 OT
08.10away · Fribourg2:7
04.10Lugano5:4
02.10away · Davos1:3
29.09Lausanne3:0

Head to head

26.09.2026Ajoie — Rapperswil-Jona4:5 OT
30.01.2026Ajoie — Rapperswil-Jona2:5
03.01.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Ajoie2:1 OT
19.10.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Ajoie3:2
16.09.2025Ajoie — Rapperswil-Jona2:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Fribourg	11	4	2	2	3	38–29	+9	18
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Ajoie	11	2	4	2	3	35–38	-3	16
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Lugano	10	4	1	1	4	36–33	+3	15
11	Davos	11	4	0	1	6	27–31	-4	13
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11
13, Relegation play-off	Biel	10	3	0	1	6	31–35	-4	10

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

21:45
Ambri-PiottaLuganopreliminary
4753
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
21:45
BernZugpreliminary
5743
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
21:45
EHC KlotenZurichpreliminary
3565
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
21:45
LausanneDavospreliminary
5446
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
21:45
ServetteBielpreliminary
6238
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →