Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 31 October, 21:45 MSK

Lausanne — Davos

Model prediction for 31 October

Lausanne43%

Draw in regulation22%

Davos35%

Model estimate at 23:15 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lausanne are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lausanne — Davos		2.7–2.5
Lausanne to win (incl. OT and shootout)		54%
Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout)		46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Lausanne
Lausanne goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Lausanne

10.10away · Rapperswil-Jona4:1
07.10Lugano2:5
03.10away · Zurich2:3 OT
02.10Biel7:4
30.09Servette6:5 SO

Davos

10.10away · Servette2:3
09.10EHC Kloten1:4
03.10away · Biel3:4
02.10Ajoie3:1
29.09away · Ambri-Piotta3:0

Head to head

26.09.2026Davos — Lausanne4:2
05.03.2026Lausanne — Davos2:6
09.01.2026Davos — Lausanne5:1
29.10.2025Lausanne — Davos3:2
09.09.2025Davos — Lausanne4:1

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Lugano	10	4	1	1	4	36–33	+3	15
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Lausanne	11	4	1	1	5	34–38	-4	15
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Ambri-Piotta	10	4	1	1	4	26–32	-6	15
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Zug	7	4	0	1	2	25–15	+10	13
11	Davos	11	4	0	1	6	27–31	-4	13
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

21:45
Ambri-PiottaLuganopreliminary
4753
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
21:45
BernZugpreliminary
5743
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
21:45
EHC KlotenZurichpreliminary
3565
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
21:45
Rapperswil-JonaAjoiepreliminary
7030
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
21:45
ServetteBielpreliminary
6238
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →