AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins

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Model prediction for 18 October

Rockford IceHogs27%
Draw in regulation21%
Grand Rapids Griffins52%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Grand Rapids Griffins are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Rockford IceHogs — No. 26, 2 pts; Grand Rapids Griffins — No. 11, 7 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Rockford IceHogs 2 wins, Grand Rapids Griffins 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins2.3–3.0
Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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Form

Rockford IceHogs

  • 11.10away · Iowa Wild3:4
  • 10.10away · Iowa Wild2:1
  • 04.10Milwaukee Admirals1:3
  • 19.04away · Texas Stars1:5
  • 18.04away · Texas Stars1:6

Grand Rapids Griffins

  • 11.10Chicago Wolves5:1
  • 11.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:4
  • 10.10Manitoba Moose2:1
  • 04.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
  • 03.10away · Cleveland Monsters5:2

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs2:5
  • 02.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins0:5
  • 23.03.2026Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins4:1
  • 21.03.2026Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins2:4
  • 05.03.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs7:3

Full record: 38 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
10Coachella Valley Firebirds422019–14+56.750
11Grand Rapids Griffins531117–13+47.700
12Ontario Reign320111–13-24.667
25Texas Stars41129–15-63.375
26Rockford IceHogs31026–8-22.333
27Henderson Silver Knights31025–8-32.333

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →