AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Rockford IceHogs 51%, Iowa Wild 49% including overtime.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild | 2.8–2.7 | |
| Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rockford IceHogs
- Rockford IceHogs goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Iowa Wild3:4
- 10.10away · Iowa Wild2:1
- 04.10Milwaukee Admirals1:3
- 19.04away · Texas Stars1:5
- 18.04away · Texas Stars1:6
- 11.10Rockford IceHogs4:3
- 10.10Rockford IceHogs1:2
- 04.10away · Texas Stars4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Texas Stars3:4 SO
- 19.04Manitoba Moose1:6
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs4:3
- 10.10.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs1:2
- 11.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild4:5
- 05.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild0:4
- 04.04.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 25 | Texas Stars | 4 | 1 | -6 | 3 | .375 |
| 26 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
AHL on the same day
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.9
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.7
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.7
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.5
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →