AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Rockford IceHogs 48%, Manitoba Moose 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rockford IceHogs
- Rockford IceHogs goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Iowa Wild3:4
- 10.10away · Iowa Wild2:1
- 04.10Milwaukee Admirals1:3
- 19.04away · Texas Stars1:5
- 18.04away · Texas Stars1:6
- 11.10away · Chicago Wolves6:1
- 10.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:2
- 04.10Chicago Wolves8:3
- 03.10Chicago Wolves3:0
- 09.05away · Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Manitoba Moose — Rockford IceHogs2:1
- 31.01.2026Manitoba Moose — Rockford IceHogs4:1
- 14.01.2026Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose6:2
- 11.01.2026Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose2:3 SO
- 21.12.2025Manitoba Moose — Rockford IceHogs4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Milwaukee Admirals | 2 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 4 | 3 | +12 | 6 | .750 |
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 4 | 3 | +9 | 6 | .750 |
| 25 | Texas Stars | 4 | 1 | -6 | 3 | .375 |
| 26 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Cleveland MonstersMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Syracuse CrunchHamilton Hammerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.9
- Toronto MarliesHershey Bearspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Utica CometsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Rochester AmericansLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Springfield ThunderbirdsProvidence Bruinspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Iowa WildCharlotte Checkerspreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →