AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
San Diego Gulls — Coachella Valley Firebirds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Coachella Valley Firebirds are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- Coachella Valley Firebirds are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.
Facts
- League table: San Diego Gulls — No. 15, 5 pts; Coachella Valley Firebirds — No. 10, 6 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: San Diego Gulls 1 win, Coachella Valley Firebirds 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Diego Gulls — Coachella Valley Firebirds | 2.7–3.0 | |
| San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Diego Gulls
- San Diego Gulls goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 11.10Henderson Silver Knights2:0
- 10.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds3:6
- 05.10away · San Jose Barracuda4:5 OT
- 04.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:1
- 25.04away · Colorado Eagles1:6
- 12.10Ontario Reign2:3 OT
- 10.10San Diego Gulls6:3
- 04.10away · Ontario Reign6:2
- 03.10Ontario Reign5:6 OT
- 21.05away · Colorado Eagles2:3
Head to head
- 10.10.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — San Diego Gulls6:3
- 19.04.2026San Diego Gulls — Coachella Valley Firebirds4:6
- 31.01.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — San Diego Gulls3:4
- 18.01.2026San Diego Gulls — Coachella Valley Firebirds0:4
- 03.01.2026San Diego Gulls — Coachella Valley Firebirds2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 10 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 4 | 2 | +5 | 6 | .750 |
| 11 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 5 | 3 | +4 | 7 | .700 |
| 14 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
AHL on the same day
- Grand Rapids GriffinsManitoba Moosepreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- Laval RocketSyracuse Crunchpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- Toronto MarliesHamilton Hammerspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.2
- Rochester AmericansUtica Cometspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Iowa WildMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →