AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
San Diego Gulls — San Jose Barracuda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: San Diego Gulls 49%, San Jose Barracuda 51% including overtime.
6.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 3.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Diego Gulls — San Jose Barracuda | 3.0–3.1 | |
| San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 63% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Diego Gulls
- San Diego Gulls goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Henderson Silver Knights2:0
- 10.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds3:6
- 05.10away · San Jose Barracuda4:5 OT
- 04.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:1
- 25.04away · Colorado Eagles1:6
- 11.10Tucson Roadrunners1:4
- 10.10Tucson Roadrunners4:7
- 05.10San Diego Gulls5:4 OT
- 04.10San Diego Gulls1:5
- 25.04away · Henderson Silver Knights1:5
Head to head
- 05.10.2026San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls5:4 OT
- 04.10.2026San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls1:5
- 07.04.2026San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls2:5
- 12.03.2026San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls4:1
- 05.03.2026San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 4 | 1 | -9 | 2 | .250 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
AHL on the same day
- Charlotte CheckersSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHartford Wolf Packpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Grand Rapids GriffinsCleveland Monsterspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Hershey BearsBelleville Senatorspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Iowa WildManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Providence BruinsUtica Cometspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Abbotsford CanucksCalgary Wranglerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →