AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, 01:05 MSK

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hartford Wolf Pack

Model prediction for 25 October

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton56%

Draw in regulation20%

Hartford Wolf Pack24%

Model estimate at 23:15 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hartford Wolf Pack		3.4–2.4
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout)		68%
Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout)		32%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		44%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Wilkes-Barre/Scranton
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

11.10away · Providence Bruins6:2
11.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack7:1
05.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:3
04.10Springfield Thunderbirds2:3 OT
08.06Toronto Marlies1:2 OT

Hartford Wolf Pack

11.10Laval Rocket2:5
11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:7
10.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
04.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2

Head to head

11.10.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:7
05.10.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hartford Wolf Pack2:3
18.01.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hartford Wolf Pack4:1
17.01.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hartford Wolf Pack3:4
11.12.2025Hartford Wolf Pack — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton0:3

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts	P%
12	Ontario Reign	3	2	0	1	11–13	-2	4	.667
13	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton	4	2	1	1	17–9	+8	5	.625
14	Rochester Americans	4	2	1	1	13–7	+6	5	.625
17	Springfield Thunderbirds	4	2	1	1	8–9	-1	5	.625
18	Hartford Wolf Pack	5	3	0	2	13–16	-3	6	.600
19	Tucson Roadrunners	4	2	0	2	14–12	+2	4	.500

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

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This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →