NHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK

San Jose Sharks — Vancouver Canucks

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Model prediction for 30 October

San Jose Sharks42%
Draw in regulation23%
Vancouver Canucks35%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Jose Sharks are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Vancouver Canucks3.1–2.8
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)60%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)40%

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Form

San Jose Sharks

  • 14.10Boston Bruins3:6
  • 10.10Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
  • 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
  • 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT

Vancouver Canucks

  • 14.10away · New York Islanders2:3
  • 12.10away · New York Rangers2:6
  • 10.10away · New Jersey Devils1:4
  • 09.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:7
  • 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026San Jose Sharks — Vancouver Canucks3:4 SO
  • 28.01.2026Vancouver Canucks — San Jose Sharks2:5
  • 28.12.2025Vancouver Canucks — San Jose Sharks3:6
  • 29.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 15.04.2025Vancouver Canucks — San Jose Sharks2:1 OT

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
24San Jose Sharks630316–23-76
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →