NHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK

St. Louis Blues — Boston Bruins

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Model prediction for 30 October

St. Louis Blues40%
Draw in regulation24%
Boston Bruins37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: St. Louis Blues 52%, Boston Bruins 48% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — Boston Bruins2.7–2.6
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

St. Louis Blues

  • 14.10away · Ottawa Senators7:2
  • 11.10Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
  • 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
  • 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
  • 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6

Boston Bruins

  • 10.10Philadelphia Flyers5:1
  • 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
  • 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 03.10away · Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT

Head to head

  • 10.12.2025St. Louis Blues — Boston Bruins2:5
  • 05.12.2025Boston Bruins — St. Louis Blues5:2
  • 16.11.2024Boston Bruins — St. Louis Blues2:3 OT
  • 13.11.2024St. Louis Blues — Boston Bruins2:3
  • 12.03.2024Boston Bruins — St. Louis Blues1:5

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
11, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins640220–13+78
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceAnaheim Ducks640220–17+38
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37
16St. Louis Blues631221–18+37
17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs731324–23+17

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →