KHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
SKA St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CSKA Moscow are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.5.
Facts
- League table: SKA St. Petersburg — No. 9, 17 pts; CSKA Moscow — No. 2, 22 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- SKA St. Petersburg: 4 defeats in a row; CSKA Moscow: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: SKA St. Petersburg 1 win, CSKA Moscow 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow | 2.3–2.5 | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SKA St. Petersburg
- SKA St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Cherepovets0:2
- 11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
- 08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
- 06.10Cherepovets2:5
- 03.10Vladivostok6:5 SO
- 09.10away · Dynamo Moscow5:2
- 05.10Salavat Ufa3:1
- 03.10Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
- 01.10away · Dinamo Minsk4:1
- 29.09SKA St. Petersburg6:5
Head to head
- 29.09.2026CSKA Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg6:5
- 31.03.2026CSKA Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg6:2
- 29.03.2026SKA St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow2:4
- 27.03.2026SKA St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow1:0
- 25.03.2026CSKA Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 15 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
KHL on the same day
- KhabarovskVladivostokpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- LadaSochipreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Salavat UfaBars Kazanpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlCherepovetspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3
- Spartak MoscowShanghaipreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →