KHL · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
SKA St. Petersburg — Novosibirsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
SKA St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- SKA St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA St. Petersburg — Novosibirsk | 3.0–2.1 | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SKA St. Petersburg
- SKA St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10away · Cherepovets0:2
- 11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
- 08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
- 06.10Cherepovets2:5
- 03.10Vladivostok6:5 SO
- 12.10away · Barys Astana3:2
- 10.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 07.10Salavat Ufa4:5 OT
- 04.10away · Niznekamsk2:3
- 02.10away · Salavat Ufa4:2
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Novosibirsk — SKA St. Petersburg4:1
- 29.10.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Novosibirsk3:2
- 13.11.2024Novosibirsk — SKA St. Petersburg0:1 SO
- 28.10.2024SKA St. Petersburg — Novosibirsk6:3
- 27.09.2023Novosibirsk — SKA St. Petersburg0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskNiznekamskpreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- SochiDinamo Minskpreliminary20802The model's most likely outcome: 217%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →