KHL · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Avangard Omsk — Niznekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Avangard Omsk are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Avangard Omsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Avangard Omsk — No. 19, 12 pts; Niznekamsk — No. 6, 18 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Avangard Omsk 4 wins, Niznekamsk 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Avangard Omsk 12, Niznekamsk 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Avangard Omsk — Niznekamsk | 2.8–2.0 | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Avangard Omsk
- Avangard Omsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Barys Astana1:5
- 08.10away · Niznekamsk1:0
- 06.10away · Yekaterinburg0:4
- 02.10Lada4:1
- 28.09Magnitogorsk1:5
- 12.10away · Salavat Ufa3:4
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
Head to head
- 08.10.2026Niznekamsk — Avangard Omsk0:1
- 01.04.2026Avangard Omsk — Niznekamsk4:3 OT
- 30.03.2026Niznekamsk — Avangard Omsk2:5
- 28.03.2026Niznekamsk — Avangard Omsk1:2
- 26.03.2026Avangard Omsk — Niznekamsk3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
KHL on the same day
- SKA St. PetersburgNovosibirskpreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- SochiDinamo Minskpreliminary20802The model's most likely outcome: 217%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →