KHL · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
SKA St. Petersburg — Yekaterinburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: SKA St. Petersburg 53%, Yekaterinburg 47% including overtime.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA St. Petersburg — Yekaterinburg | 2.6–2.5 | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SKA St. Petersburg
- SKA St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Cherepovets0:2
- 11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
- 08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
- 06.10Cherepovets2:5
- 03.10Vladivostok6:5 SO
- 06.10Avangard Omsk4:0
- 04.10Khabarovsk0:3
- 02.10Khabarovsk3:0
- 30.09Lada3:1
- 26.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
Head to head
- 13.10.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Yekaterinburg2:1
- 08.10.2025Yekaterinburg — SKA St. Petersburg2:1 OT
- 20.03.2025Yekaterinburg — SKA St. Petersburg3:2 SO
- 12.10.2024SKA St. Petersburg — Yekaterinburg5:2
- 25.03.2024SKA St. Petersburg — Yekaterinburg4:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.2
- 65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →