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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Monday, 12 October, MSK

Slavutych — Lida

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Model prediction and result

0:4Missed
Slavutych61%
Draw in regulation19%
Lida21%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:4: the model's most likely outcome, Slavutych to win (73% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 73% fails in about 27 matches out of 100 on average.

Slavutych are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • Slavutych are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Slavutych — Lida3.4–2.2
Slavutych to win (incl. OT and shootout)73%
Lida to win (incl. OT and shootout)27%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Slavutych
  • Slavutych goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Slavutych

  • 10.10Lida3:0
  • 05.10Vitebsk4:3
  • 03.10Vitebsk6:3
  • 30.09Soligorsk5:1
  • 28.09Soligorsk4:3 SO

Lida

  • 10.10away · Slavutych0:3
  • 06.10Mogilev5:1
  • 04.10Mogilev6:0
  • 29.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:5 SO
  • 27.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha5:4

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Slavutych — Lida3:0
  • 21.03.2026Lida — Slavutych1:3
  • 19.03.2026Slavutych — Lida1:0
  • 17.03.2026Slavutych — Lida2:1 OT
  • 15.03.2026Lida — Slavutych3:2 OT

Next matches

  • GomelSlavutych15 October · Belarus Extraleague
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • LidaBaranavichy15 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 5:25.8

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • BrestZhlobin
    2The most likely outcome came true: 221%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:3, exactly right.5.3
  • Yunost MinskSoligorsk
    2The most likely outcome came true: 220%Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →