Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Gomel — Slavutych

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Model prediction for 15 October

Gomel35%
Draw in regulation22%
Slavutych43%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Slavutych are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Gomel — Slavutych2.5–2.8
Gomel to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Slavutych to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Gomel
  • Gomel goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Gomel

  • 11.10away · Mogilev5:1
  • 09.10away · Mogilev3:2
  • 05.10Lokomotiv Orsha5:2
  • 03.10Lokomotiv Orsha4:3
  • 29.09away · Novopolotsk1:3

Slavutych

  • 12.10Lida0:4
  • 10.10Lida3:0
  • 05.10Vitebsk4:3
  • 03.10Vitebsk6:3
  • 30.09Soligorsk5:1

Head to head

  • 18.02.2026Gomel — Slavutych2:6
  • 16.02.2026Gomel — Slavutych3:6
  • 20.10.2025Slavutych — Gomel3:1
  • 18.10.2025Slavutych — Gomel2:3
  • 29.12.2024Slavutych — Gomel3:2

Full record: 8 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 116%Model's score: 4:15.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 5:25.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →