KHL · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Sochi — Dinamo Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo Minsk are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochi — Dinamo Minsk | 1.8–3.5 | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 20% | |
| Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 80% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sochi
- Sochi goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 09.10Spartak Moscow0:2
- 07.10Spartak Moscow2:5
- 03.10Nizhny Novgorod0:6
- 30.09Salavat Ufa6:3
- 12.10away · Shanghai3:2
- 10.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
- 08.10SKA St. Petersburg4:2
- 05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
- 03.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3
Head to head
- 27.02.2026Sochi — Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 25.02.2026Sochi — Dinamo Minsk2:7
- 10.11.2025Dinamo Minsk — Sochi5:2
- 28.10.2025Dinamo Minsk — Sochi8:2
- 23.03.2025Sochi — Dinamo Minsk2:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 15 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 14 | 8 | +14 | 16 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskNiznekamskpreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- SKA St. PetersburgNovosibirskpreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →