KHL · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Sochi — Shanghai
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Shanghai are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Shanghai are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochi — Shanghai | 2.2–2.7 | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sochi
- Sochi goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 09.10Spartak Moscow0:2
- 07.10Spartak Moscow2:5
- 03.10Nizhny Novgorod0:6
- 30.09Salavat Ufa6:3
- 12.10Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 07.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2
- 05.10away · Lada5:0
- 03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT
- 30.09Magnitogorsk4:1
Head to head
- 28.09.2026Shanghai — Sochi4:1
- 30.01.2026Shanghai — Sochi5:2
- 29.01.2026Shanghai — Sochi1:2
- 26.01.2026Sochi — Shanghai2:6
- 15.11.2025Sochi — Shanghai4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →