KHL · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Vladivostok — Salavat Ufa

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Model prediction for 19 October

Vladivostok34%
Draw in regulation22%
Salavat Ufa43%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Salavat Ufa are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Salavat Ufa are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Vladivostok — No. 17, 13 pts; Salavat Ufa — No. 11, 17 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Vladivostok 1 win, Salavat Ufa 4.
  • Days of rest before the match: Vladivostok 9, Salavat Ufa 7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vladivostok — Salavat Ufa2.4–2.7
Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vladivostok
  • Vladivostok goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Vladivostok

  • 10.10Lada4:3 OT
  • 07.10away · Magnitogorsk0:3
  • 05.10away · Magnitogorsk5:2
  • 03.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:6 SO
  • 01.10away · Cherepovets4:3 SO

Salavat Ufa

  • 12.10Niznekamsk4:3
  • 09.10away · Magnitogorsk1:7
  • 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
  • 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
  • 02.10Novosibirsk2:4

Head to head

  • 03.03.2026Vladivostok — Salavat Ufa1:2 SO
  • 01.03.2026Vladivostok — Salavat Ufa4:2
  • 31.10.2025Salavat Ufa — Vladivostok5:0
  • 29.10.2025Salavat Ufa — Vladivostok6:1
  • 02.03.2025Vladivostok — Salavat Ufa3:6

Full record: 44 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1581624–22+217
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk1565442–48-617
16Dynamo Moscow1662833–46-1314
17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok1453635–39-413
18Novosibirsk1553733–45-1213

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →