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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · O2 Arena

Sparta Prague — Kometa Brno

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Model prediction and result

3:4 OTMissed
Sparta Prague56%
Draw in regulation20%
Kometa Brno23%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:4 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Sparta Prague to win (69% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 69% fails in about 31 matches out of 100 on average.

Sparta Prague are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Sparta Prague are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sparta Prague — Kometa Brno3.1–2.1
Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Sparta Prague
  • Sparta Prague goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Sparta Prague

  • 04.10away · Pardubice4:6
  • 01.10Ceske Budejovice4:2
  • 29.09away · Mountfield HK3:4
  • 28.09Karlovy Vary0:1
  • 25.09away · Litvinov4:1

Kometa Brno

  • 05.10away · Ceske Budejovice1:5
  • 02.10Mlada Boleslav3:2 SO
  • 27.09Pardubice3:5
  • 25.09away · Olomouc4:2
  • 20.09Mountfield HK3:1

Head to head

  • 15.01.2026Sparta Prague — Kometa Brno1:3
  • 05.12.2025Kometa Brno — Sparta Prague3:1
  • 19.10.2025Sparta Prague — Kometa Brno4:1
  • 14.09.2025Kometa Brno — Sparta Prague2:0
  • 13.04.2025Sparta Prague — Kometa Brno1:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKladno10322329–32-315
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague10402431–28+314
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec10402429–29014
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov10311524–28-412
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno9221425–28-311
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • Sparta PragueVitkovice11 October · Czech Extraliga
    1The most likely outcome came true: 118%Final score 3:0. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
  • Kometa BrnoPlzen11 October · Czech Extraliga
    2The most likely outcome came true: 223%Final score 1:2 in overtime. Model's score: 1:2.4.4

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • PlzenCeske Budejovice
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 4:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →