Premium
EN
Sections

Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · O2 Arena

Sparta Prague — Vitkovice

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

3:0Came true
Sparta Prague64%
Draw in regulation18%
Vitkovice18%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sparta Prague to win (76% incl. overtime), came true.

Sparta Prague are clear favourites: 76% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Sparta Prague are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sparta Prague — Vitkovice3.5–2.0
Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout)76%
Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)24%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Sparta Prague
  • Sparta Prague goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Sparta Prague

  • 08.10Kometa Brno3:4 OT
  • 04.10away · Pardubice4:6
  • 01.10Ceske Budejovice4:2
  • 29.09away · Mountfield HK3:4
  • 28.09Karlovy Vary0:1

Vitkovice

  • 09.10Pardubice2:3
  • 04.10away · Mountfield HK2:3 OT
  • 02.10Karlovy Vary0:3
  • 29.09away · Olomouc4:3
  • 27.09Mlada Boleslav6:2

Head to head

  • 21.12.2025Sparta Prague — Vitkovice3:6
  • 29.10.2025Vitkovice — Sparta Prague1:4
  • 22.10.2025Sparta Prague — Vitkovice5:4 OT
  • 21.09.2025Vitkovice — Sparta Prague2:3 SO
  • 23.02.2025Vitkovice — Sparta Prague6:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKladno10322329–32-315
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague10402431–28+314
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec10402429–29014
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc10110818–36-185

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • PlzenSparta Prague16 October · Czech Extraliga
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
  • VitkoviceCeske Budejovice16 October · Czech Extraliga
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Mlada BoleslavLitvinov
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.6
  • Ceske BudejoviceLiberec
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
  • Karlovy VaryKladno
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:1, exactly right.4.8
  • Kometa BrnoPlzen
    2The most likely outcome came true: 223%Final score 1:2 in overtime. Model's score: 1:2.4.4
  • Mountfield HKOlomouc
    1The most likely outcome came true: 120%Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:1, exactly right.4.8
  • PardubiceTrinec
    1The most likely outcome came true: 121%Final score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 4:2.5.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →