Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Sparta Prague — Olomouc
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sparta Prague are clear favourites: 79% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Sparta Prague are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sparta Prague — Olomouc | 3.4–1.8 | |
| Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 79% | |
| Olomouc to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 21% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Vitkovice3:0
- 08.10Kometa Brno3:4 OT
- 04.10away · Pardubice4:6
- 01.10Ceske Budejovice4:2
- 29.09away · Mountfield HK3:4
- 11.10away · Mountfield HK1:3
- 09.10away · Litvinov1:3
- 04.10Trinec0:9
- 02.10away · Liberec0:2
- 29.09Vitkovice3:4
Head to head
- 16.09.2026Olomouc — Sparta Prague2:5
- 26.01.2026Sparta Prague — Olomouc6:3
- 23.12.2025Sparta Prague — Olomouc7:2
- 31.10.2025Olomouc — Sparta Prague1:4
- 23.09.2025Olomouc — Sparta Prague4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kladno | 10 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Olomouc | 10 | 1 | -18 | 5 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →