KHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Spartak Moscow — Shanghai
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Spartak Moscow are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Spartak Moscow — No. 7, 18 pts; Shanghai — No. 8, 17 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Spartak Moscow: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Spartak Moscow 4 wins, Shanghai 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Spartak Moscow 11, Shanghai 13.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Spartak Moscow — Shanghai | 3.2–2.3 | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Khabarovsk2:1
- 09.10away · Sochi2:0
- 07.10away · Sochi5:2
- 04.10Barys Astana3:4 SO
- 02.10Magnitogorsk0:2
- 12.10Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 07.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2
- 05.10away · Lada5:0
- 03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT
- 30.09Magnitogorsk4:1
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Shanghai — Spartak Moscow1:3
- 24.12.2025Shanghai — Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 22.12.2025Shanghai — Spartak Moscow1:3
- 21.10.2025Spartak Moscow — Shanghai7:6 SO
- 07.10.2025Spartak Moscow — Shanghai3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
KHL on the same day
- KhabarovskVladivostokpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
- LadaSochipreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Salavat UfaBars Kazanpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlCherepovetspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3
- SKA St. PetersburgCSKA Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →