AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Upstate Medical University Arena
Syracuse Crunch — Belleville Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Syracuse Crunch to win (65% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 65% fails in about 35 matches out of 100 on average.
Syracuse Crunch are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- Syracuse Crunch are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.4.
- Syracuse Crunch: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Syracuse Crunch — Belleville Senators | 3.2–2.4 | |
| Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
109 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Syracuse Crunch
- Syracuse Crunch goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · Rochester Americans1:7
- 03.10away · Laval Rocket1:6
- 03.10away · Laval Rocket2:0
- 03.05Cleveland Monsters1:2 OT
- 02.05Cleveland Monsters3:4 OT
- 04.10Rochester Americans3:2 SO
- 03.10Hamilton Hammers2:5
- 19.04away · Syracuse Crunch0:4
- 18.04Syracuse Crunch6:4
- 16.04Utica Comets0:3
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Syracuse Crunch — Belleville Senators4:0
- 18.04.2026Belleville Senators — Syracuse Crunch6:4
- 19.02.2026Belleville Senators — Syracuse Crunch1:2
- 08.02.2026Belleville Senators — Syracuse Crunch2:5
- 07.02.2026Syracuse Crunch — Belleville Senators5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 22 | Belleville Senators | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | .500 |
| 23 | Hamilton Hammers | 4 | 1 | -3 | 3 | .375 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 4 | 1 | -9 | 2 | .250 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
Next matches
- Belleville SenatorsUtica Comets12 October · AHL47532The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:4Final score 2:4. Model's score: 2:4, exactly right.5.8
- Syracuse CrunchRochester Americans18 October · AHL55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
AHL on the same day
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:7Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
- 50501The most likely outcome came true: 122%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.6
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.4
- 42582The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
- 47532The most likely outcome came true: 221%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.8
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 2:3.4.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →