AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Toronto Marlies — Rockford IceHogs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Toronto Marlies are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- Toronto Marlies are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto Marlies — Rockford IceHogs | 3.3–2.4 | |
| Toronto Marlies to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toronto Marlies
- Toronto Marlies goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Hamilton Hammers5:2
- 10.10away · Hamilton Hammers5:4 SO
- 03.10Hamilton Hammers5:3
- 03.10away · Rochester Americans1:3
- 20.06Chicago Wolves4:3
- 11.10away · Iowa Wild3:4
- 10.10away · Iowa Wild2:1
- 04.10Milwaukee Admirals1:3
- 19.04away · Texas Stars1:5
- 18.04away · Texas Stars1:6
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colorado Eagles | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 7 | Toronto Marlies | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 8 | Hershey Bears | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 25 | Texas Stars | 4 | 1 | -6 | 3 | .375 |
| 26 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
AHL on the same day
- Charlotte CheckersSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHartford Wolf Packpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Grand Rapids GriffinsCleveland Monsterspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Hershey BearsBelleville Senatorspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Iowa WildManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Providence BruinsUtica Cometspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Abbotsford CanucksCalgary Wranglerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →